Testimonials

March 8, 2012

A Penny Here, A Penny There on AAPL

Filed under: Options Education — Tags: , , — Dan Passarelli @ 10:52 am

One of the more difficult problems with which to deal for an options trader has historically been the broad bid-ask spreads quoted for options. Experienced traders have routinely negotiated the bid-ask spreads downward with varying success when trading individual positions, but the non-economic price has been the significant effort and time required to achieve these negotiated results.

Beginning in January2007, CBOE initiated a Pilot Program to reduce bid-ask spreads to as low as 1¢. As of February 28th of this year, there are currently 360 in the series (including such big names as Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and more) quoted in these penny increments. CBOE maintains an Excel file of option series currently included within this “Penny Pilot” program at: http://www.cboe.org/hybrid/pennypilot.aspx

Because option positions are frequently constructed with several individual legs, the impact of the ability to trade with tighter bid-ask spreads can have significant impact on the aggregate slippage of positions. Combined with the falling commission rates resulting from the increasingly intense completion amongst brokers specializing in options, significant trading efficiencies have resulted.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

March 1, 2012

There’s a Time for Everything: Thoughts on AAPL Option Strategies

Do you know how many different types of options strategies there are? A lot: That’s how many! But that’s not really the important question. More importantly: Do you know why there are so many different types of options strategies? Now we have something to discuss.

Different options strategies exist because each one serves a unique purpose for a unique market condition. For example, take bullish AAPL traders. Traders who are extremely bullish on AAPL get more bang for their buck buying out-of-the-money calls. Less bullish AAPL traders may buy at- or in-the-money calls. Traders bullish just to a point may buy a limited risk/limited reward bull call spread. If implied volatility is high and the trader is bullish just to a point, the trader might sell a bull put spread, and so on.

The differences in options strategies, no matter how apparently subtle, help traders exploit something slightly different each time. Traders should consider all the nuances that affect the profitability (or potential loss) of an option position and, in turn, structure a position that addresses each nuance. Traders need to consider the following criteria:

  • Directional bias
  • Degree of bullishness or bearishness
  • Conviction
  • Time horizon
  • Risk/reward
  • Implied volatility
  • Bid-ask spreads
  • Commissions
  • And more

Carefully selecting options strategies makes all the difference in a trader’s long-term success. Leaving money on the table with winners, or taking losses bigger than necessary can be unfortunate byproducts of selecting inappropriate options strategies. Be sure to spend time optimizing your options strategies over the next few weeks to build the habit.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

February 23, 2012

Volatility Events, Prediction and a Piece of Cake

Option trading is easy. Well, let me qualify that statement just a bit. To be fair, options are more complicated than more simple, linear assets like stocks. But there are some elements to options’ pricing that actually make them a little easier to trade from a valuation standpoint.

The most important thing to consider is predictability. You probably receive many unsolicited emails telling you how so-and-so can predict the market with 100% certainty and make you a gizzillionaire overnight. On the other side of that coin, there is not a professor alive who will tell you that it is possible to predict the direction of the stock market with any statistical significance. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle. But one thing for sure: predicting the direction of a stock is though, and you’ll be wrong often.

But, aside from directional implications of the underlying stock, there is an important pricing factor to options that is much more predictable: volatility shifts resulting from expected volatility events. All options have an imbedded component to their pricing relating to expected-future volatility. This is called implied volatility. It can be thought of as the expected future volatility implied by the market.

Sometimes volatility is quite predictable, and therefore, fluctuations in option prices resulting from implied volatility changes can be likewise predictable. So-called volatility events include earnings, Fed announcements, CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Payrolls, GDP and more. Volatility events are often scheduled far in advance. Just google a financial calendar and see when CPI is scheduled to be released six months from now—you’ll easily find that information. Unemployment figures are always the first Friday of the month. And so on.

When volatility events are imminent, options get more expensive. Why? Hedgers and speculators brace for a potential move by buying options, creating price-pressuring demand. Look at a chart of implied volatility for a typical stock option class and take a look at its value in the few days leading up to earnings. Typically, it will increase right before earnings. Then afterwards, it tends to fall right back to its normal range.

Scheduled volatility events help option traders analyze the ebb and flow of option premium levels with the precision of predicting the moon cycle. But all volatility events are not predictable—only those that are regularly scheduled. Sometimes, volatility events come out of nowhere. Takeovers, CFOs cooking the books, these sort of things can take a trader by surprise.

Though not all volatility events are predictable, the fact that some are provides great value to option traders. Imagine knowing that a stock would almost always rise at a certain date every quarter! This makes option trading a little easier than stock trading in my opinion. Maybe not quite a piece of cake; but still advantageous over trading stocks.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

February 16, 2012

The Naked AAPL Call

Filed under: Options Education — Tags: , , , , , , — Dan Passarelli @ 12:41 pm

The naked call is defined as an option strategy where an option player sells (writes) call options without owning the underlying security. Some may refer to this strategy as an “uncovered call” or “short call.”

The goal of the naked call is for the trader to collect premiums if the option expires worthless. A trader could sell an out-of-the-money (OTM) naked call each month and pocket premiums, provided the stock price either stays flat or drops. This process could continue as long as the stock remains below the strike.

The Specifics
The maximum gain for selling a naked call is limited to the premium received for the call option. That said, the loss potential is unlimited – as the stock can rise indefinitely. If the underlying stock’s price is above the strike price at expiration, it will result in the trader having to sell the stock at the strike price (which will be lower than the market price).

A loss can occur if the stock price rises. If the price of the underlying stock is greater than the short call’s strike price plus the premium received at expiration the option should be bought in to close the trade. Otherwise, when the option is assigned and a short-stock position is acquired, further losses are possible. On the flip side, the maximum profit is achieved when the underlying stock is less than or equal to the strike price of the sold call at its expiration.

An Example
For this specific example, we will take a look at Apple (AAPL) – which is trading slightly above $500 at the time of this writing. A March 550 call carries a bid price of 4.00. If the stock remains below the strike price by expiration, the call expires worthless and the call seller keeps the 4.00 in premium (less any commissions). The problem is if the stock rallies through the strike price at expiration, the call will be assigned, resulting in a short sale of 100 shares at $550. With the stock at $570, that would represent a loss of $20 a share, or $2,000. Subtract the $400 received in premium and the total loss comes to $1,600.

With unlimited loss potential, the naked call is considered one of the riskiest option strategies. A, perhaps, safer way to structure a trade with a similar risk profile is to sell a call credit spread. We’ll have a short blog posting on this in the future. For those interested in learning all the ins and outs of credit spreads, contact us about our online content in the Students section of the Market Taker webite. http://markettaker.com/contact_us/

February 9, 2012

Moneyness and AAPL

Filed under: Options Education — Tags: , , , , , , , , — Dan Passarelli @ 10:47 am

Moneyness isn’t a word, is it? It won’t be found on spell-check, but moneyness is a very important term when it comes to options. There are three degrees, if you will, of moneyness for an option, at-the-money (ATM), in-the-money (ITM) and out-of-the-money (OTM). Let’s take a look at each of these terms, using tech behemoth Apple (AAPL) as an example. At the time of writing, Apple was hovering around the $490 level, so let’s define the moneyness of Apple options using $490 as the price.

At-the-Money
An at-the-money AAPL option is a call or a put option that has a strike price about equal to $490. The ATM options (in Apple’s case the 490-strike put or call) have only time value (a factor that decreases as the option’s expiration date approaches, also referred to as time decay). These options are greatly influenced by the underlying stock’s volatility and the passage of time.

In-the-Money
An option that is in-the-money is one that has intrinsic value. A call option is ITM if the strike price is below the underlying stock’s current trading price. In the case of AAPL, ITM options include the 485 strike and every strike below that. One will notice that option positions that are deeper ITM have higher premiums. In fact, the further in-the-money, the deeper the premium.

A put option is considered ITM when the strike price is above the current trading price of the underlying. For our example, an ITM AAPL put carries a strike price of 495 or higher. As with call options, puts that are deeper ITM carry a greater premium. For example, an AAPL 500 put has a premium of $12.20 compared to a price of $4.80 for a 485 put.

If an option expires ITM, it will be automatically exercised or assigned. For example, if a trader owned a AAPL 485 call and AAPL closed at $490 at expiration, the call would be automatically exercised, resulting in a purchase of 100 shares of AAPL at $485 a share.

Out-of-the-Money
An option is out-of-the-money when it has no intrinsic value. Calls are OTM when their strike price is higher than the market price of the underlying, and puts are OTM when their strike price is lower than the stock’s current market value. Since the OTM option has no intrinsic value, it holds only time value. OTM options are cheaper than ITM options because there is a greater likelihood of them expiring worthless.

If this is the case, why purchase OTM options? If you have little investing capital, an OTM option carries a lower premium; but you are paying less because there is a higher possibility that the option expires worthless. OTM options are attractive because OTM calls can see their premium increase quickly. Of course, OTM options could see their premium decrease quickly as well. Remember that OTM options can log the highest percentage gain on the same move in the underlying, in comparison to ATM or ITM options.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

February 2, 2012

Trading Option Strangles 101

 We have discussed the straddle options strategy in the past, a strategy that traders  can use when the market is volatile but direction is uncertain. Another play similar to the straddle is the option strangle. In a straddle, the investor is betting on both sides of a trade by purchasing options with the same strike price and the same expiration date, on the same underlying. A trader can create a similar trade, but with a lower price by trading a strangle instead. Rather than purchasing a put and a call at the same strike (as in the straddle), the investor purchases a put and a call at different strikes, still with the same expiration. By using a put and a call that are out-of-the-money, a trader pays a lower initial premium. However, this comes with a caveat – the stock will have to make a much larger move than it would if a straddle were employed. The investor is, arguably, taking a larger risk (because a bigger move is needed than with a straddle), but is paying a lower price.

The Particulars
Like a straddle, a strangle has two breakeven points. To calculate these points simply add the net premium (call premium + put premium) to the strike price of the call (for upside breakeven) and subtract the net premium from the put’s strike (to calculate downside breakeven).  If at expiration, the stock has advanced or dropped past one of these breakevens, the profit potential of the strategy is unlimited (yes, unlimited). The position will take a 100% loss if the stock is trading between the put and call strikes upon expiration. Remember that the maximum loss an investor can take on a strangle is the net premium paid.

Example Trade
To create a strangle, a trader will purchase one out-of-the-money (OTM) call and one OTM put. We can use Apple (AAPL) as an example which at the time of this writing (February 2012) is trading at around $456. The trader would buy both a March 460 call and an March 450 put. For simplicity, we will assign a price of $10.00 (rounded down for the call and up for the put) for both – resulting in an initial investment of twenty bucks for our investor (which is the maximum potential loss).

Should the stock rally past $460 at expiration, the 450 put expires worthless and the $460 call expires in-the-money (ITM) resulting in the strangle trader collecting on the position. If, for example, the intrinsic value of the call at expiration is $26, the profit is $6 (intrinsic value less the premium paid).  The same holds true if the stock falls below $450 at expiration, it then is the put that is ITM and the call expires worthless. The danger is that the stock moves nowhere by the time option expiration occurs. In this case, both legs of the position expire worthless and the initial twenty dollars, or $2,000 of actual cash, is lost.

Notice that the maximum loss is the initial premium paid, setting a nice limit to potential losses. Potential profits on the strangle are unlimited.

 Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

January 26, 2012

Stop Loss or Trailing Stop?

Some may hear the terms trailing stop loss and stop loss order and wonder exactly what these are and how a stop loss can enhance a trading strategy. Well, fret no more – that is what we will discuss in this blog entry. Let’s start with the basics, defining a stop loss order. Basically, a trader will tell the broker a certain price on a stock (or option) where the position will be closed; but it’s a little different than a typical closing order. For longs, the closing price is below the current market price and for shorts the stop loss closing order is above the current market. Let’s take a look.

Stop Loss Example
A trader could purchase a stock for $15.00 and set a stop-loss order at $13.50. This means that the position will be closed at the market price once the stock drops below $13.50, simple right? It is called a stop loss order because it rather simply stops the investor from taking any more losses. Many investors have a set percentage of a trade for a stop loss order. If a trader wants to use a stop loss order for an option, the bid and ask prices would be monitored and then the same decisions as were made in the stock example are made.

Trailing Stop Loss Example
A trader  chooses a lower target price to keep losses in check and tells the broker to sell the contract once this price is breached. There is another stop loss strategy, the trailing stop loss. A trailing stop loss is either a fixed percentage or a fixed nominal increment from the current market price. Once the market price moves away from the stop, the stop moves, or trails, the market. It remains in place, though, if the market moves towards it.

Once the trailing stop loss is triggered the stock is sold, just like the regular stop loss. The benefit of the trailing stop loss is that it is flexible. If you purchase an option for $10 and set a trailing stop of 50 cents, the sell target is $9.50. Of course, as the stock increases in value, the 50-cent trailing stop will do follow (the stock trades at $10.50, the trailing stop becomes $10.00).

A trailing stop loss, then, can be used very effectively in profit taking. And it may sometimes require an adjustment. Let’s revisit the $10 stock with a 50-cent stop loss. If the company reports blow-out earnings, driving the price sharply higher, it might be time to adjust the trailing stop loss. In this example, let’s say the stock jumped to $12.00. A nice profit, but there could be some more room to the upside. Maybe the trader will adjust that trailing stop a little tighter to, say, 25 cents. Doing so allows the trader to lock in a profit of at least 1.75 (12 minus 10 = 2, 2 minus 0.25 = 1.75).

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

January 19, 2012

Bull Call Spread vs. Purchasing a Call

Bull Call Spread vs. Purchasing a Call
Let’s say that you have a moderately bullish bias toward a stock and the overall market is slightly bullish. Is there a way that you can take advantage of this investing scenario while limiting risk? Certainly, there are a few. One that is often superior to the rest is the bull call spread.

Definition
When executing a bull call, you purchase call options at one strike and sell the same number of calls on the same company at a higher strike with the same expiration date. Let’s use Apple Inc. (AAPL) which is currently trading around $430 as an example. In this case you would purchase February calls at the 430 at-the-money strike at the ask price of $14.45. You would then sell the same number of February calls with a higher strike price, in this case 450 at the bid, $6.25.

The Math
Your maximum profit in the bull call spread is limited, you can make as much as the difference between the strike prices less the net debit paid. For simplicity, let’s assume that you purchased one February 430 call and sold one February 450 call resulting in a net debit of $8.20 (that’s $14.45 – $6.25). The difference in the strike prices is $20 (450 – 430). You, therefore, subtract 8.20 from 20 to end up with a maximum profit of $11.80 per contract. So, if you traded 10 contracts, you could make $11,800.

Although you limited your upside, you also limited the downside to the net debit of $8.20 per contract. To simply breakeven, the stock would have to trade at $438.20 (the strike price of the purchased call (430) plus net debit ($8.20)).

Advantage versus Purchasing a Call
When trading the long call, your downside is limited to the net premium paid. If you simply purchased the at-the-money February 430 call you would have paid 14.45. The potential loss is, therefore, greater when employing a call-buying strategy. If you move to a call with a longer time frame to expiration, you would pay even more for the option. This would also increase your potential loss per option.

Conclusion
By implementing a bull call spread, you have hedged your bets – limiting the potential loss. This is the advantage when comparing to purchasing a call outright. Remember that there are no fool-proof ways to make money by using options. However, knowing your strategy is a good way to limit losses.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

January 12, 2012

Buying Call Options Rather Than Stock for AAPL

 You have your eye on a stock, a very high-valued stock like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ). You believe that this stock, despite its high price, continues to have tremendous upside potential. The problem is that you don’t want to shell out $420 for one share of the search giant. What can you do to maximize your money and cash in on the perceived upside? Easy, buy a call option rather than the stock.

Quick Definition
For the uninitiated, a call option is a bullish strategy wherein a trader purchases the right (but not the obligation) to purchase a stock at a specified price within a specific time period. One advantage to buying a call option rather than purchasing a stock is that you can gain a much larger percentage return on your investment.

The Example
If you want to purchase 100 shares of AAPL stock at $420 it is going to cost you (100 X $420) $42,000.  However, let’s say that you decide to purchase 1 call option on AAPL (each option represents 100 shares) with a strike price of, say, 420 with a February expiration, which carries a price tag of $16.40. Rather than dishing out $42,000 for 100 AAPL stock shares, you instead pay $1,640 for the options – a rather nice difference of $40,360 that you can use for something else or to purchase other options.

The Money
The cost efficiency of purchasing call options can be far greater than simply purchasing shares of a stock, especially when you are dealing with high-priced stocks like AAPL. Remember that one option contract is the right to purchase 100 shares of a stock at that price. So, rather than purchasing 100 AAPL shares at $420 at the massive cost of (100 X $420) $42,000; you have dished out a more reasonable $1,640 for the transaction. Of course, this is the scenario if you want to simply be bullish on AAPL stock.

Conclusion
As you can see, it is possible to lay out far less money to purchase call options on a stock that to by the call itself. In fact, the earlier the expiration you choose, the lower the price you could pay. No matter what math you use, paying $1,640 is far better than paying $42,000 for the same product. What if you want to sell these options to someone who is willing to pay a higher ask price than you paid? That is another subject for another time. Remember, there is no fool-proof way to make money in the market – there is risk involved in any trading strategy. One way to make sure you maximize your cash is to make sure you study your subject, remember that knowledge is power. Please check out our special Online Education deal for Options Blog readers.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

 Market Taker Mentoring

January 5, 2012

The Stock Repair Strategy

Stock Repair Options Strategy

It’s been a rough ride for a lot of investors. Some investors are waiting (patiently) for some of their losers to turn around. Some traders are buying at new, cheaper prices. But as experienced investors know, the market can always go lower, sometimes fast and furiously. There is one more alternative that can make sense in some cases: the stock repair strategy.

Introduction to the Stock Repair Strategy
The stock repair strategy is a strategy involving only calls that can be implemented when an investor thinks a stock will retrace part of a recent drop in share price within a short period of time (usually two to three months).

The stock repair strategy works best after a decline of 20 to 25 percent of the value of an asset. The goal is to “double up” on potential upside gains with little or no cost if the security retraces about half of its loss by the option’s expiration.

Benefits
There are three benefits the stock repair strategy trader hopes to gain. First, little or no additional downside risk is acquired. This is not to say the trader can’t lose money. The original shares are still held. So if the stock continues lower, the trader will increase his loses. This strategy is only practical when traders feel the stock has “bottomed out”.

Second, the projected retracement is around 50 percent of the decline in stock price. A small gain may be marginally helpful. A large increase will help but have limited effect.

Third, the investor is willing to forego further upside appreciation over and above original investment. The goal here is to get back to even and be done with the trade.

Implementing the Stock Repair Strategy
Once a stock in an investor’s portfolio has lost 20 to 25 percent of the original purchase price, and the trader is anticipating a 50 percent retracement, the investor will buy one close-to-the-money call and sells two out-of-the-money calls whose strike price corresponds to the projected price point of the retracement. Both option series are in the same expiration month, which corresponds to the projected time horizon of the expected rally. The “one-by-two” call spread is ideally established “cash-neutral” meaning no debit or credit. (This is not always possible. More on this later). To better understand this strategy, let’s look at an example.

Example
An investor, buys 100 shares of XYZ stock at $80 a share. After a month of falling prices, XYZ trades down to $60 a share. The investor believes the stock will rebound, but not all the way back to his original purchase price of $80. He thinks there is a reasonable chance for the stock to retrace half of its loss (to about $70 a share) over the next two months.

The trader wants to make back his entire loss of $20. Furthermore, he wants to do it without increasing his downside risk by any more than the risk he already has (with the 100 shares already owned). The trader looks at the options with an expiration corresponding to his two-month outlook, in this case the September options

The trader buys 1 September 60 call at 6 and sells 2 September 70 calls at 3. The spread is established cash-neutral.

Bought    1 Sep 60 call at 6
Sold         2 Sep 70 call at 3 (x2)
-0-

By combining these options with the 100 shares already owned, the trader creates a new position that gives double exposure between $60 and $70 to capture gains faster if his forecast is right. FIGURE 1 shows how the position functions if held until expiration.

(See Figure 1 above)

If the stock rises to $70 a share, the trader makes $20, which happens to be what he lost when the stock fell from $80 to $60. The trader would be able to regain the entire loss in a retracement of just half of the decline. With the stock above 60 at expiration, the 60-strike call could be exercised to become a long-stock position of 100 shares. That means, the trader would be long 200 shares when the stock is between $60 and $70 at expiration. Above $70, however, the two short 70-strike calls would be assigned, resulting in the 200 shares owned being sold at $70. Therefore, further upside gains are forfeited above and beyond $20.

But what if the trader is wrong? Instead of rising, say the stock continues lower and is trading below $60 a share at expiration. In this event, all the options in the spread expire and the trader is left with the original 100 shares. The further the stock declines, the more the trader can lose. But the option trade won’t contribute to additional losses. Only the original shares are at risk.

Benefits and Limitations of the Stock Repair Strategy
The stock repair strategy is an option strategy that is very specific in what it can (and can’t) accomplish. The investor considering this option strategy must be expecting a partial retracement and be willing to endure more losses if the underlying security continues to decline. Furthermore, the investor must accept limiting profit potential above the short strike if the stock moves higher than expected.

Some stocks that have experienced recent declines may be excellent candidates for the stock repair. For others, the stock repair strategy might not be appropriate. For stocks that look like they are finished or may even head lower, the Stock Repair Strategy can’t help - just take your lumps! But for those that might slowly climb back, just partially, this can be a powerful option strategy to recoup losses fast.

Edited by John Kmiecik

Senior Options Instructor

Market Taker Mentoring

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